OK, I'm going to get my prediction in early, here's some of what I expect to happen (in England, as the devolved governments have their own rules) over the next couple of months:
- some kind of "lockdown" with more holes (exceptions) than a Swiss cheese from Thursday
- pubs, restaurants and non-essential shops busy until "lockdown" kicks in, as people want to use their "last chance"
- numbers will go down a bit towards the end of November and into early December
- government will proclaim it a success and announce a "ceasefire" or "truce" for Christmas where people can visit their families in order to "save Christmas"
- the virus will still not understand or know what a "ceasefire" or "truce" is and happily continue doing what it does best: infecting and making people ill, or even killing them
- in January numbers will start to rise again, first calls for another "lockdown" will be made. Which the government will ignore. Track & Trace still not working
- by the end of February another "lockdown" is announced
(and that's ignoring the mess that Brexit will bring, deal or no-deal, as nobody has the time & resources to prepare for it during lockdown)